{"id":1762,"date":"2018-04-12T00:01:55","date_gmt":"2018-04-11T14:01:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.alexshoolman.com\/blog\/?p=1762"},"modified":"2024-08-08T10:27:46","modified_gmt":"2024-08-08T00:27:46","slug":"home-battery-energy-storage-prices-halving-every-3-years","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.alexshoolman.com\/blog\/2018\/04\/12\/home-battery-energy-storage-prices-halving-every-3-years\/","title":{"rendered":"Home Battery Energy Storage Prices Halving Every 3 Years"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Every year there&#8217;s a slew of predictions of what the prices of batteries <em><strong>could be<\/strong><\/em> in 5, 10 or even 15 years. Over the past though we&#8217;ve seen almost all of these predictions get smashed. Every year they get revised to be even lower. Only to go even lower again the next year&#8230; and the next.<\/p>\n<p>What we\u00a0<em><strong>can\u00a0<\/strong><\/em>be certain about though is how much battery prices have dropped in the past! Now a study by\u00a0Bloomberg New Energy Finance (BNEF) has found that it&#8217;s actually a quite astounding amount.<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>BNEF\u2019s lithium-ion battery price index shows a fall from <em><strong>$1,000 per kWh in 2010 to $209 per kWh in 2017<\/strong><\/em>. &#8211; <a href=\"https:\/\/about.bnef.com\/blog\/tumbling-costs-wind-solar-batteries-squeezing-fossil-fuels\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">BNEF<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>That is a staggering cost reduction of 79% in just 7 years! To put that kind of progress in context if it continues at that rate batteries would cost just $44 \/ kWh by 2024.<\/p>\n<p>This would mean a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.alexshoolman.com\/blog\/2018\/04\/02\/tesla-powerwall-3-australian-dates-specs-and-cost\/\">future Tesla Powerwall 7<\/a> (or whatever number they&#8217;re up to by then) that cost the same as it does now could be filled with 65 kWh of storage in it or be almost <em><strong>5 times as big.<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.alexshoolman.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/12\/Tesla-Powerwall-Home-1-1024x401.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"750\" height=\"294\" class=\"aligncenter size-large wp-image-1743\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.alexshoolman.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/12\/Tesla-Powerwall-Home-1-1024x401.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/www.alexshoolman.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/12\/Tesla-Powerwall-Home-1-300x118.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.alexshoolman.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/12\/Tesla-Powerwall-Home-1-768x301.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.alexshoolman.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/12\/Tesla-Powerwall-Home-1.jpg 1440w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 750px) 100vw, 750px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Funnily enough too this mythical Powerwall 7 would essentially be enough for most houses to go entirely off grid assuming they also had a 10 kW solar system installed on their roof. They&#8217;d even be able to operate sans grid with an EV or two.<\/p>\n<h3>Not Just For Home Storage<\/h3>\n<p>What&#8217;s more likely though is for manufacturers to significantly reduce the product price. If we&#8217;re looking at an <a href=\"https:\/\/www.alexshoolman.com\/blog\/2017\/07\/29\/the-tesla-model-3-arrives\/\">EV containing a 50 kWh battery<\/a> &#8211; something that can get you an EPA rated range of around 350 km&#8217;s \/ 220 miles &#8211; it could mean a price reduction of $10,450 -&gt; $2,200.<\/p>\n<p>That&#8217;s a\u00a0<em><strong>huge\u00a0<\/strong><\/em>amount when you&#8217;re talking about car component prices. It also means that by 2024 EV&#8217;s will likely get to a price point that is even cheaper than their comparable combustion car.<\/p>\n<p>Hopefully it happens even quicker than that and if <a href=\"https:\/\/www.alexshoolman.com\/blog\/2017\/08\/14\/how-to-profit-from-self-driving-cars\/\">TaaS (Transport as a Service)<\/a> really takes off it might not even matter. Exciting times!<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Every year there&#8217;s a slew of predictions of how low the price of Home Battery Energy Storage could go. Now a study by\u00a0BNEF has found that it&#8217;s actually a quite astounding amount.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":1429,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[61,122,39],"tags":[38,59,58],"class_list":["post-1762","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-home-battery-energy-storage","category-energy","category-news","tag-batteries","tag-electric-vehicles","tag-home-battery-storage"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/www.alexshoolman.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/02\/Tesla-Powerwall-2-Red.jpg","jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p92j6e-sq","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.alexshoolman.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1762","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.alexshoolman.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.alexshoolman.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.alexshoolman.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.alexshoolman.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1762"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"https:\/\/www.alexshoolman.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1762\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1827,"href":"https:\/\/www.alexshoolman.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1762\/revisions\/1827"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.alexshoolman.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/1429"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.alexshoolman.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1762"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.alexshoolman.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1762"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.alexshoolman.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1762"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}